Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. 3. Without the religiously unaffiliated, Trump would have had a 9-point popular vote margin over Biden. Indeed, the virus outbreak was mentioned as a major or minor component in 72% of all stories about the Biden administration, including nearly every health care story and 96% of all economy stories, as well as other topic areas. Respondents who didnt turn to any of the 25 outlets. But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. Another significant difference in their coverage is that while the negative Biden stories modestly outnumbered the positive ones, negative stories about Trump exceeded positive ones by four-to-one. This is the latest report in Pew Research Centers ongoing investigation of the state of news, information and journalism in the digital age, a research program funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, with generous support from the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation. Validated voters are citizens who told us in a post-election survey that they voted in the 2020 general election and have a record for voting in a commercial voter file. One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. About The historical comparison is conducted across a smaller universe of outlets that existed during all five study periods, representing a mix of print publications and network evening news. Most Americans have been following news about the Biden administration closely, 5. Thus far, that theory hasnt really panned out the US has continued to experience record-breaking numbers of migrants and asylum seekers at its south-west boundary, despite decades of presidents pursuing this paradigm of prevention through deterrence. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. Voters approve that Trump is for strong borders, keeping illegal immigrants out Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. Trump beats Biden, Harris in 2024 match-ups: poll. Comparable levels of support for each candidate were seen among Democrats (95% for Biden) and Republicans (94% for Trump), not including leaners. Adults with a high school education or less were 29% of all voters but half of nonvoters. Now on to Trumps strengths, according to the voters: Voters think Trump did a great job with the economy with record low unemployment before the pandemic, and now were making a comeback Assessment of the Biden administration:In this analysis, each statement in a story (made by a source or the reporter him or herself) was analyzed to determine how, if at all, it assessed President Biden and his administrations actions or words. Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Voters broadly want a national discussion on race, but they dislike having politicians running that discussion or setting the rules for it This provides an important difference from normal polls, in that voters are allowed to speak their mind in their own words. Adults younger than 50 made up 45% of all voters but 68% of nonvoters nearly identical to the pattern seen in 2016. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. The gender gap in the 2020 election was narrower than it had been in 2016 as Democrats made gains among men and Republicans made gains among women. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. Voters are very worried about the economy being hurt by too much attention to the virus For our analysis of Americans views of news coverage, we group respondents by their news media diet. Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. FILE - Former President Donald Trump announces a third run for president as he speaks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Nov. 15, 2022. By contrast, about a third of Trump voters (32%) voted by mail. About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. Stay where you are and apply legally from there.. Cannabis Extraction Market Size 2023 Research Findings, Market Growth Factors Analysis And Forecasts-2030. Comparably smaller shares of Black (20%) and Hispanic voters (18%) said the same. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, highest-turnout midterm election in decades, emerged in the 2004 presidential election, Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement, Demographic profiles of Trump and Biden voters, Voting methods in the 2020 presidential election, A voter data resource: Detailed demographic tables about verified voters in 2016, 2018, What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion, Interactive map: The changing racial and ethnic makeup of the U.S. electorate, In Changing U.S. Electorate, Race and Education Remain Stark Dividing Lines, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. For this analysis, we surveyed U.S. adults online and verified their turnout in the three general elections using commercial voter files that aggregate official state turnout records. The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. Wizbang is a registered service mark. Among outlets with a left-leaning audience, the assessment was a little more positive than negative (29% of stories vs. 19%), while 52% of stories were neither positive nor negative. There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). The Center has analyzed news coverage of the beginning of each of the five presidential administrations since President Bill Clinton in 1993. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. The survey panel also makes it possible to examine change in turnout and vote preference over time among many of the same individuals. But the topics that outlets gave the most attention to differed based on the ideological makeup of their audience (see box). About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by double-digits among registered voters, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Siena College. Still, Biden currently has a higher. With Trump, the numbers were roughly reversed, with 74% framed around leadership and character and 26% around policy and ideology. Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. At the same time, White voters with a college degree or higher supported Biden by roughly the same margin they had backed Clinton in 2016. Trump was counting on drawing blood with his attacks on Biden's family, making this into a controversy that finally pulls his front-running opponent back to earth. Most voters think schools should open in the fall and have face-to-face teaching On the NASDAQ, Trump is at 44.12% compared to Biden at -9.61% a difference of 53.72%. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. President Joe Biden speaks with border protection police on the Bridge of the Americas border crossing between Mexico and the US in Texas this January. Two of the questions were correctly answered by large majorities of Americans: a question about the proposed increased national minimum wage (81% correctly answered $15 an hour) and a question about the number of doses required for the COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. (69% correctly answered that the number of doses required varies depending on the vaccine).4. Given the unusual circumstances of the Trump-Biden transition, with Trump still contesting the election results, it is perhaps unsurprising that Trump himself was mentioned in about half the stories about the new Biden administration. Cumulatively across the S&P 500, Trump is at 28.44% compared to Biden at 7.71% a difference of 20.72%. Those who get political news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences vary about a third (34%) say they see their news sources covering immigration the most, 27% say this of the coronavirus outbreak and 21% say the U.S. economy gets the most coverage from their sources. The Center has also conducted similar analyses for the early months of the four prior administrations: those of Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. There could be more than one source within any source category, such as quotes from two members of the administration. Strength in my analysis will refer to positive qualities which the President possesses, Weakness will refer to negative qualities which damage his effectiveness in campaigning, Opportunities will refer to events and conditions which Trump can use to his advantage, and Threats will refer to events and conditions which could cost Trump support if he fails to address them properly. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). Part of Trumps enduring legacy is tied to being the president who separated families at the US-Mexico border and threw kids in cages for days or weeks, often with little communication or information provided to keep track of them. Although turnout was strong, stark demographic differences between voters and nonvoters similar to those seen in past U.S. elections were present in 2020, a pattern familiar to political observers. 1. Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety If his decisions cause harm, he will be blamed for their effects Trump runs his mouth too much (but he gets the job done) Trump looks too eager to argue and fight, not work out solutions with Democrats This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. The 2020 general election featured the highest rate of voter turnout in more than a century, with 66% of eligible adults casting a ballot for president. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. Younger adults continue to make up a larger share of Democratic voters compared with Republican voters. Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). Who's ahead in all? If you continue to use this site we will assume that you consent to this usage. (Americans who consume news from these outlets were also much more likely to report hearing a lot about immigration policy reform, according to the survey data.) Within a news story, the statements from the sources cited as well as the reporters own language determine the overall assessment of the Biden administration. Americans compare presidents all the time. Voters do not like the violence and rioting occurring with the protests, especially since Democrats like Biden say nothing about it People in this left-only group are much less likely than those on the right to name immigration as the topic getting the most attention (5% vs. 34%). Simple. Trumps honesty appears challenged Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of the American Trends Panel. Within a story, there needed to be at least twice as many positive as negative statements for a story to be considered positive and vice versa to be considered negative. Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. The political split between Americas rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020. For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. Many Americans say early media assessments of Biden administration were mostly positive, fair and accurate, 6. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. Others die trying to circumvent closed-off points of entry. Among independents and those who affiliated with other parties, Biden led Trump by 52%-43%. Voters in 2020 sorted along religious lines in ways consistent with recent elections. Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail. Detailed descriptions about the focus groups include the detail that these group each lasted more than two hours in length, making sure every voter in the groups got heard, and had a chance to comment on issues they felt were important, a sharp distinction from the brief-as-possible polls which limited voters to multiple-choice responses, and sometimes only an either/or choice. In 2016, Trump won White men by 30 points (62% to 32%). Let's look at the overall sentiment. NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart Trump has grown weary of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media has used to damage his image. During these first 60 days, stories were slightly more likely to carry an overall negative assessment of the administration (32%) than a positive one (23%), though just under half were neither positive nor negative (45%).1. That framing is dramatically different from the coverage of the first few months of the Trump administration four years earlier. Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters minds Many people subjected to this policy often referred to by its shorthand, Title 42 have been stranded in or expelled to dangerous conditions in Mexico, or else swiftly returned to the unstable and sometimes life-threatening realities at home that many of them risked life and limb to escape. Catholics made up similar shares of Biden and Trump voters (19% and 22%, respectively); in 2016, Catholics made up a slightly higher share of Trump voters compared with Clinton voters (23% vs. 18%). One new element of this years study in Part 2of this report is a survey component that measures Americans exposure to and sense of news coverage during this early time period, how that differs by media diet, and how it compares with the analysis of media content in Part 1. Protestants constituted nearly half of all voters (46%), as they did in 2016. Urban and suburban voters were considerably more likely than rural voters to say they cast their ballot by mail (50% of urban and suburban vs. 35% of rural voters). Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. Joe Biden has a sizable lead over Donald Trump in national . News coverage of President Joe Bidens early days in office was modestly more negative than positive, and most of the stories were centered around his ideology and policy agenda rather than his character and leadership a contrast with coverage of former President Donald Trump at the start of his administration, according to a new Pew Research Center study that examines media coverage of the new administration. DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN Money - His net worth is estimated to be about$4,500,000,000. 2. This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). In the 2018 election, Democrats substantially narrowed the gap with men (50% of men voted for Democratic candidates, 48% for Republican candidates) while maintaining an 18-point lead among women. Voters think Bidens the alternative to President Trump, the lesser of two evils.. With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. By comparison, just 2% of voters chose a third-party candidate in 2020. One somewhat unusual aspect of the 2016 election was the relatively high share of voters (nearly 6%) who voted for one of the third-party candidates (mostly the Libertarian and Green Party nominees), a fact many observers attributed to the relative unpopularity of both major party candidates. Voters dont like Biden blaming Trump for the coronavirus, seeing it as playing politics falsely As was the case in the 2016 and 2018 elections, the Democratic voting coalition in 2020 looked quite different from the Republican coalition in several respects. He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. Turnout differences by race and ethnicity persisted as well. The conclusion, at least according to the National Pulse, is simple: Voters are having buyer's remorse on Biden - and wish they had given Trump a second term.. Trump was eventually forced to end these hyper-visible family separations, but he continued to advance hardline practices that adversely affected children and families seeking help at the USs south-west boundary, whether stranding young kids in US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice) custody or in hazardous Mexican border towns. But when the number of people crossing into the US from Mexico without authorization swiftly increased, his more tempered tactics became a political liability, giving Republicans fuel to spin false yet convincing to some narratives about an open and mismanaged border. Specifically, outlets whose audiences lean to the right politically put their heaviest emphasis on immigration, which was the focus of 20% of their stories related to the Biden administration. Reflecting these differences, Trump performed much better among voters who cast their ballots in person on Election Day (65% for Trump vs. 33% for Biden). While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. In The Times' latest average, President Biden's favorable rating is 44% and his unfavorable rating is 52% a positive net of about -8 percentage points. Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender. Most controversially, Mr. Biden has kept Trump-era tariffs on China, despite the fact that some economists and several top U.S. officials, including Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen, question. For the survey analysis, we surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 to 14, 2021. On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. Bidens been in hiding Thestock market has hitrecord high after record high, helping moreAmericans build wealthand secure their futures." Yet even as Biden tries to clean up Trumps mess, de facto family separations continue. Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trumps own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. Across the 25 news outlets studied, five broad topics accounted for two-thirds (67%) of all the coverage related to the Biden administration. First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. The Democratic electorate is more evenly divided when it comes to education. These voters formed substantial bases of support for both Biden and Trump. Fully 78% of the stories from outlets with predominantly right-leaning audiences carried a negative assessment. If this threshold was not met, stories were coded as neither positive nor negative. The 2020 election brought a huge change in howAmericans cast their ballots. One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. To that end, I am falling back on a well-known but still useful business tool: the SWOT analysis. Given the change in the media landscape, we used the seven sampled media organizations that have persisted since 1993: the nightly evening news on ABC, CBS, NBC and PBS, as well as the print editions of The New York Times, The Washington Post and Newsweek across the first 60 days for each of the five presidencies. Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. Overall, one-in-four 2020 voters (25%) had not voted in 2016. The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). It looks at how new voters and voters who turned out in one or both previous elections voted in the 2020 presidential election and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2020 electorate. Update (Oct. 8): Updated with Biden's continued refusal to clarify his stance on court packing. Biden, by contrast, has stopped holding migrant families in Ice detention, so far. However, when comparing Clintons voters with Bidens, there are some significant shifts. The average unfavorable rating told a similar story, with Biden at 52.4% and Trump on 55.8%. One similarity in coverage of the two most recent administrations has been the main source cited in news stories: Just as the Trump administration was by far the most cited source in news stories soon after Trump became president (cited in 74% of stories), so is the Biden administration the most cited source now (82%). For example, in 2020, nearly half of Biden voters (49%) were younger than 50; that compares with 39% of Trump voters in 2020. Voters leaning to Biden said Trump could win them back if he were to show empathy, stop tweeting, and act like a president. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. But support for Biden among the unaffiliated was not quite as lopsided as Trumps support among White evangelicals (a 45-point margin for Biden among the unaffiliated vs. a 69-point margin for Trump among White evangelicals). Black Americans made up 11% of voters, but a slightly larger share (14%) of nonvoting citizens, and Hispanic adults were 10% of voters but 20% of nonvoting citizens. At the same time, Trumps vote share among White women without a college degree grew slightly between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA We surveyed 11,818 U.S. adults online in November 2020, 10,640 adults in November 2018 and 4,183 adults in November and December 2016. Overall, 58% of Trump voters were Protestant, compared with just 35% of Biden voters. Getty Meanwhile in one Premise poll, Trump led the president 45 to 44. The Left is too quick to call many people racist without valid reason Here are the questions used for this report and its methodology. Its unclear what Biden has done in the past 40+ years to help heal race issues Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish But, at a border that is already hyper-politicized, hyper-policed and hyper-surveilled, the last two administrations have still largely relied on the enforcement-focused infrastructures and blueprints inherited from their predecessors. The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. However, as with voters overall, there was a substantial age divide within this group. Impeaching the President was a mistake by Democrats it looked like a cheap political move which took away attention from important issues, especially in light of the coronavirus coming in from China. One other key difference was that in 2017 the new presidents political skills was the most covered topic, while it ranked fifth in 2021. See here to read more about the questions used for this reportand the reports methodology. Fewer had heard a lot about the other topics mentioned, such as the pursuit of talks with Iran (just 10% said they had heard a lot). Most notably, both administrations have done devastating harm to millions of forcibly displaced people, who came here looking for safety and opportunity only to become victims of a system that has left them stranded and vulnerable. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? In outlets with a more mixed audience, the coverage of the Biden administration was also mixed: 25% of the stories had a positive assessment, 24% had a negative one and 51% were neither positive nor negative. Examine change in turnout and vote preference over time among many of the 2016 and 2020 presidential was! 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